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Foreign policy of Great Britain in the Central Asian region
in the period 2001
–
2024
Shakhnoza AZIMBAYEVA
University of World Economy and Diplomacy
ARTICLE INFO
ABSTRACT
Article history:
Received August 2024
Received in revised form
15 September 2024
Accepted 15 October 2024
Available online
25 November 2024
The article studies the state and development of the Central
Asian vector of British foreign policy in the period 2001
–
2024.
To simplify the analysis, the article examines the policies of the
country’s three prime ministers, Tony Blair, Gordon Brown, and
David Cameron, towards Central Asia. The main priorities,
differences, and similarities between the strategic visions of the
aforementioned heads of government are identified. The author
also investigated the main factors that influenced the presence
of Great Britain in Central Asia.
2181-
1415/©
2024 in Science LLC.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47689/2181-1415-vol5-
This is an open access article under the Attribution 4.0 International
(CC BY 4.0) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.ru)
Keywords:
Great Britain,
Central Asia,
foreign policy,
Tony Blair,
Gordon Brown,
David Cameron,
business interests,
economic cooperation,
international relations.
2001
–
2024-yillar davrida Buyuk Britaniya Markaziy Osiyo
mintaqadagi tashqi siyosati
ANNOTATSIYA
Kalit so‘zlar
:
Buyuk Britaniya,
Markaziy Osiyo,
tashqi siyosat,
Toni Bler,
Gordon Braun,
Devid Kemeron,
biznes manfaatlar,
iqtisodiy hamkorlik,
xalqaro munosabatlar.
Maqolada 2001
–
2021-yillar oralig
‘
ida Buyuk Britaniya
tashqi siyosatida Markaziy Osiyo vektorining holati va
rivojlanishi ko
‘
rib chiqilgan. Tahlilni soddalashtirish uchun
maqolada mamlakatning uchta bosh vaziri Toni Bler, Gordon
Braun va Devid Kemeronning Markaziy Osiyoga nisbatan
siyosati o
‘
rganilgan. Yuqorida tilga olingan hukumat
rahbarlarining
strategik
g
‘
oyalari
o
‘
rtasidagi
asosiy
ustuvorliklar, farqlar va o
‘
xshashliklar aniqlangan. Muallif
tomonidan shuningdek, Buyuk Britaniyaning Markaziy
Osiyodagi siyosatiga ta’sir ko‘
rsatgan asosiy omillarni ham
o
‘
rganib chiqilgan.
1
Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science (PhD) Lecturer, University of World Economy and Diplomacy.
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12
Внешняя политика Великобритании в
Центральноазиатском регионе в период 2001–2021 гг.
АННОТАЦИЯ
Ключевые слова:
Великобритания,
Центральная Азия,
внешняя политика,
Тони Блэр,
Гордон Браун,
Дэвид Кэмерон,
бизнес
-
интересы,
экономическое
сотрудничество,
международные
отношения.
В статье рассматриваются состояние и развитие
центральноазиатского
вектора
внешней
политики
Великобритании в период 2001–2021 гг. Для упрощения
анализа статья изучает политику трех премьер
-
министров
страны Тони Блэра, Гордона Брауна и Дэвида Кэмерона в
отношении Центральной Азии. Раскрыты основные
приоритеты, различия и сходства между стратегическими
видениями вышеупомянутых глав правительств. Также
автором исследованы основные факторы повлиявшие на
присутствие Великобритании в Центральной Азии.
At the beginning of the new century, in 2000, the world entered with new types of
threats, risks, opportunities and with a new rhetoric of international relations. The
events of September 11, 2001, attracted the attention of the global community, primarily
of the developed countries of the West, to Afghanistan and the partially adjacent Central
Asian region.
However, even despite the rich history of relations between the United Kingdom
and the former state formations in Central Asia such as the Bukhara Emirate or the Khiva
Khanate, and its active participation in the geopolitical games of the region during the
Great Game in the 19th
–
early 20th centuries, the state of its foreign policy in Central
Asia in the period of the global
“crusade” against terrorism was not distinguished by its
complexity or conceptualism. It was focused on two broad strategies
–
partly on the
strategy of NATO alliance countries and with a great preponderance on the foreign policy
visions of Tony Blair, the country’s prime minister.
This example clearly shows that the foreign policy of Great Britain in the Central
Asian region in the period 2001
–
2021 can be divided into three main parts, the foreign
policy of T. Blair, G. Brown, and D. Cameron, heads of government.
During the study of the material on the topic and its analysis, both theoretical and
empirical methods of research were used. In particular, the historical-chronological
method contributed to the identification of the temporal structure of events related to
the foreign policy of Great Britain in Central Asia during this period. The context analysis
became the basis for studying the key priority areas of the concepts of the country’s
prime ministers. The systemic method is used to structure the general ideological
rhetoric in UK foreign policy in the Central Asian region. Also, the comparative analysis
method was used to differentiate temporal and personal factors in the formation and
implementation of this policy.
The foreign policy of Great Britain in a fairly long period (from 1997 to 2007) of
Tony Blair’s tenure as Prime Minister of the country differed from the previous policy of
John Major (1990
–
1997) in its scope based on
“three “big ideas”, namely, multilateralism,
Atlanticism and neo-liberalism
”
[1:911]. On the one hand, the United Kingdom sought to
finalize its position in the EU, to step up against new threats within NATO, and to
differentiate British foreign policy, especially in a trade and economic context.
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Since the political activity of Great Britain during the second administration of
Tony Blair gradually but fully focused on the war in Afghanistan and “
culminated in the
long-drawn-out disputes over Iraq
”
[4], Central Asia, as a region with political
significance, and without becoming fully conceptualized in British official stand, began to
move into one of the last ranks in London’s priorities. However, in economic terms, Great
Britain tried to maintain its position in the region.
Traditionally, the country’s foreign policy in Central Asia was based on the priority
of British oil and gas companies, as well as companies specializing in providing services
to the oil and gas sector (financial, research, consulting, etc.)
–
leaders of British,
European and world business in general. And through the prism of their interests in the
Caspian region [3:58]. In this regard, for the UK, the most profitable partner since gaining
independence has been Kazakhstan, one of the largest countries in the Caspian region
and the largest country rich in natural resources, which also pursues an active policy of
attracting investors.
As many experts note, T. Blair
’
s government followed the path of strengthening the
"strategic partnership" with Astana to ensure the interests of not only oil and gas, but
also other British companies. The annual volume of export of services of British
companies to Kazakhstan significantly exceeds the volume of export of goods: about 900
million pounds during 2007
–
2008 [2]. British Aerospace has acquired a 49% stake in
Kazakhstan’s national carrier Air Astana. Large Kazakh companies choose the London
Stock Exchange to place their shares on the Western market. To strengthen the position,
the diplomatic presence in Kazakhstan was expanded, not only members of the
government but also the royal family were used for lobbying. With Astana, London is
implementing the largest military assistance program, and the British military attaché in
Kazakhstan is the only representative of the British military department in the region.
For the 2000s. British-Kazakh relations have been "overgrown" with numerous
organizations of an official and unofficial nature, providing a high density and numerous
channels of interaction (intergovernmental Kazakh-British Trade and Industry Council;
parliamentary groups on bilateral relations; British-Kazakh society under the patronage
of the Duke of York and President N. Nazarbayev; Caspian Information Center with the
participation of members of the British Parliament, etc.). [3]
In all three terms of the Tony Blair administration, a single strategy or action plan
for the country for Central Asia was not developed although there were attempts to
develop concepts of foreign policy in other post-Soviet areas such as the Baltic states or
the Caspian or the South Caucasus countries. Possibly, the official bodies of the UK mainly
strived to form more market and economically liberal relations with the Central Asian
countries. But their choice was based on the ambiguity of partners, like Kazakhstan,
which is part of both Central Asia and the Caspian region
. These actions of Blair’s
administration led to the underdevelopment of relations with other Central Asian states.
Gordon Brown was elected Prime Minister of Great Britain for only one term from
2007 to 2010
.
While Tony Blair was prime minister, his chancellor, Gordon Brown, was
rarely associated with international policy in the mind of the public. Instead, Brown’s
interest in certain international policy areas was largely overlooked and he was instead
linked in the mind of the public with domestic policy, while Blair, from 2001 onwards,
was associated largely with Britain’s relationships with international actors and large
-
scale military incursions in Afghanistan and Iraq [5:85].
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The coming to power of Gordon Brown was marked primarily by internal
contradictions in the Labor Party, from where both Brown and Blair were elected. These
internal political contradictions were closely linked to the failures of British foreign
policy, including the results of Great Britain’s participation in the protracted military
operations of the US-led coalition in Iraq and NATO in Afghanistan [6: 161]. However,
under Brown, Great Britain rather retained the foreign policy course created under Tony
Blair to the countries of the post-Soviet space, including Central Asia. This policy was
entirely based on economic and business interests. If British firms can make money on
the market of some post-Soviet state, then political relations with this country will be
successful. But there will be no political convergence in countries where the Brown
administration feels that British companies are facing insurmountable problems. In this
regard, in the post-Soviet space, Russia became the main partner of the United Kingdom,
in Central Asia, Kazakhstan remained such. However, in a more global vision, in the short
term of the Brown administration, the UK’s relations with the ex
-Soviet countries could
not fully improve, for example, relations with Russia were more tense, conflicting, and in
crisis on many issues of international politics.
However, even during the Brown administration, Central Asia did not become not
only a priority but even one of the conceptualized directions of British foreign policy.
Most likely, this is due to the lack of establishing sufficient trusting relations with Russia,
and because of this, considering Central Asia as a zone of influence of the Russian
Federation, the UK chose a more specific and non-comprehensive approach to
maintaining partnership with our region
–
to put economic goals in the vanguard and
ignore political overtones.
Unlike his two predecessors, Cameron was from another party, the Conservative
one. Perhaps because of this, the foreign policy of David Cameron, the 75th Prime
Minister of the United Kingdom (2010
–
2016), despite further failure on the issue related
to the referendum on leaving the EU and the Brexit processes that began after that, has
distinguished itself with his new vision. First, he was in favor of strengthening the global
role of Britain in the fight against new threats and close cooperation in this fight with the
United States. Under Cameron, Britain took part in an international coalition air
operation against the Libyan Republic, which was carried out in accordance with United
Nations Security Council Resolution 1973 of March 17, 2011, with the “aim of securing a
no-fly zone over Libya and protecting civilians from the regime Muammar Gaddafi
” [10]
.
Second, Cameron had fairly good connections with the Chinese business
community. He also chose the path of developing relations with such important but for
some reason forgotten during the cabinet of Labor, countries such as Pakistan, and
Bangladesh. Comprehensive trade relations with Singapore, Indonesia, and Malaysia
were strengthened, and relations were established at the highest level with Vietnam [7].
In other words, one of the novation’s of the Cameron administration was its desire to
build “relations with China and Asian countries, while maintaining good relations with
the American administration, regardless of its party-
political orientation” [11].
Even in the direction of Central Asia, Great Britain has taken clearer steps.
However, these actions were based on the already traditional interests of the kingdom
–
promoting business interests and strengthening already established ties e.g. with
Kazakhstan. In July 2013, the historic first visit of the British Prime Minister to
Kazakhstan took place. Then, David Cameron visited Atyrau, where, together with the
President of Kazakhstan, he took part in the opening ceremony of the Bolashak oil and
gas complex treatment plant, and also visited official Astana [8].
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British Prime Minister Cameron signed a strategic cooperation agreement as well
as $1.0 billion in deals with Kazakhstan during his visit. Deals besides energy also
covered infrastructure projects as well as those in the IT field. The British premier played
up the importance of Kazakhstan to regional security as he wound down a swing through
the region that included visits to Pakistan and Afghanistan: “Kazakhstan is on the rise ... a
country that wants to play a bigger role in the region and in the world. Not just an
emerging market, but an emerging power.” He also noted that the Kazakh government
had recently ratified an air route agreement that offered Britain “a new northern route to
bring our kit home from Afghanistan.
” [9]
Summing up, it can be noted that it was during the administration of David
Cameron that Kazakhstan officially became the highest priority state for Britain in all of
Central Asia. Also, Cameron’s policy has clearly shown and formalized the tradition that
has formed in the business and government circles of the United Kingdom since the 90s
of the last centuries, namely, to develop relations with post-Soviet countries on a bilateral
format rather than in a multilateral one. Concerning the dominance of foreign policy in
the decision-making process, business interests have not changed, they remained a vital
factor. Cameron’s visit to Kazakhstan can serve as a vivid example of this. Before and
after the visit, many local British media criticized the Prime Minister for his visit to a
country where human rights are being infringed and expected him to take more concrete
actions in this direction, but the Kazakh and British sides only exchanged views on
democratic and legal issues. Specific actions were taken only to improve economic
relations.
The resignation of David Cameron and the entire period (2016
–
2019) when
Theresa May was the prime minister, the second woman in the history of Great Britain to
head the government after Margaret Thatcher (1979
–
1990), was marked by one event
–
Brexit
–
to end the withdrawal from the European Union and negotiations to establish
new agreements with the EU. Although the Brexit process itself was not completed
during the May administration, the main processes were started at that time.
However, the formulation of the Central Asian policy of the 76th Prime Minister of
the United Kingdom is very complex. First, this is also because it is not an easy task to
characterize and conceptualize its general foreign policy outside of Brexit and the crisis
associated with this process. Second, as noted by many studies,
“
May is the first prime
minister who has had to grapple with the new reality and it hasn’t been easy,
particularly
since the election debacle of 2017 left her running a minority government… For May,
domestic politics always trumped foreign policy.
[12]
Although the uncertainty of both its general and Central Asian foreign policy, in
our opinion, is associated with the excessively large and ephemeral plans of the
government, which did not take into account the real state of Great Britain and remained
only as slogans, without special programs and implementation. For example, in January
2017, Theresa May argued she wanted the country to be “a truly Global Britain –
the best
friend and neighbor to our European partners, but a country that reaches beyond the
borders of Europe too. A country that goes out into the world to build relationships with
old friends and new allies alike” [13]. At first glance, these statements by T.
May at least
sowed hope for the development of a more diverse foreign policy of Britain, which would
focus not only on the country’s classic partners. But in reality, it was exactly the opposite.
*
However, if we take into account that in 2010 - 2016, Theresa May was the Minister of the Interior of UK, it seems
objective consequence.
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Central to the aspiration of Britain to be truly ‘Global’ is the desire to renew its ties
with
“old friends” in the “Anglosphere”,
particularly the USA, but also Canada, Australia
and New Zealand. Those in favour of Brexit had pointed out the possibility of signing
trade deals rapidly with those countries, for instance with New Zealand. Besides, Theresa
May was the first foreign head of government to meet Trump after his inauguration as
President of the USA. During the press conference they held together she insisted on “the
bonds of history, of family, kinship and common interests” between the two countries on
which closer ties in commerce, business, and foreign affairs would be founded. [13]
The only significant component of the Central Asian foreign policy of Great Britain
of this period is connected not with the region itself but with the most important players
and factors in the region
–
Russia and China. The cabinet of Theresa May deteriorated
relations with Russia. In March 2018, the Prime Minister blamed Moscow for the
poisoning in British Salisbury of former GRU Colonel Sergei Skripal, who was convicted in
Russia for espionage for Great Britain, and his daughter Yulia. May said they were
exposed to a poisonous substance being developed in Russia (such as Novichok). In Great
Britain, 23 Russian diplomats were declared persona non grata, and other sanctions were
adopted. The Russian Federation has taken mirror measures. [14] With regard to China,
trade and economic indicators of cooperation and contacts not only preserved but even
improved, the acceptance of China as a negative actor rather than a positive one has
changed. And in matters related to human rights in China, according to British experts,
“Britain’s response to China’s growing repression has been weak and pusillanimous”
[15]. Even after the resignation T. May comes to the improvement and constructive
relationship with China [16].
For Theresa
May’s administration, fully loaded with the Brexit issue and drawing
up a new strategy, an action program outside the EU, Central Asia remained in the
shadow of resolving relations with Russia and China. Even the Global Britain program
failed to encompass and finally systematize British foreign policy in the region.
However, British-Central Asian relations hold promising prospects. They are
associated not only with the change of power in the key countries of Central Asia but also
with transformations and reforms in the foreign policy of Great Britain itself. After
leaving the EU, the UK decided to rebuild its foreign and defense policy. In March 2021,
Prime Minister Boris Johnson presented a new foreign policy doctrine called Global
Britain to the House of Commons. According to this strategy, the United Kingdom, given
the emergence of new threats, will focus on strengthening its nuclear arsenal, as well as
expanding its influence in the Indo-Pacific region, which, according to Johnson, has
become the new “geopolitical and economic center of gravity” of the world [17]. The
development of the Asian vector of the United Kingdom may gradually become the
reason for the revitalization of the country in Central Asia and the expansion of its
narrow foreign trade policy, focused only on Kazakhstan.
Although diplomatic relations between UK and Uzbekistan were officially
established in 1992, in fact, cultural relations between the two peoples started more than
600 years and date back to correspondence between Amir Temur and King Henry IV of
England. In a short period of time almost 30 years, have improved inter-parliamentary
relations, cooperation with foreign policy and foreign economic agencies, the judiciary
and law enforcement agencies, and the Ministries of Justice, Defense, Education and
Finance has intensified. Relations between the business circles of the two countries are
strengthening, trade, economic and investment cooperation is expanding.
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Firstly, after Afghanistan situation the main charge is military cooperation
between the United Kingdom and the Republic of Uzbekistan on Defence and Security
issues. This exchanged views on the assessment of the security situation in Afghanistan
and Uzbekistan’s support to UK Program for Relocation Assistance for eligible Afghans
[18]. Indeed, cooperation between the two nations has been steadily increasing over the
period and is continuing to develop in a mutually beneficial manner. The next year
30 anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United Kingdom
and Uzbekistan. Great Britain in the future by promoting the Central Asia Program [19] in
Central Asia countries, especially in Uzbekistan,
has planning to strengthen the capacity
of Administration and Ministry of Justice to deliver prioritized, coordinated, and targeted
reforms and cooperation with Central Asia Governments’ law enforcement agencies to
engage on UK priority areas, capacity of and cooperation between journalists and media
outlets in four Central Asian countries to produce new alternative media content, which
is conflict- and gender-sensitive, capacities of Ministries, faith-based organizations and
religious leaders to prevent and respond to gender-based violence and improve
reproductive health in five Central Asian countries. For the first time in its history,
Uzbekistan issued Eurobonds through the London Stock Exchange and entered the
international capital market. With the support of the United Kingdom, presidential
schools, and joint universities are being opened and established in Uzbekistan.
Uzbekistan was chosen as the "Country of the Year"[20] by the British magazine The
Economist has become a clear recognition of the success of reforms. Britain supported
Uzbekistan's membership in the UN Human Rights Council. Between states ratified the
Partnership and Cooperation Agreement the main document regulating bilateral
relations. In addition, as a major donor to the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank,
and contributor to European Union development finance, the UK provides millions of
dollars towards grants and concessional loans for development in Uzbekistan every
year[21]. Fittingly, in April 2016, Tobias Ellwood, Deputy Minister at the Foreign Office,
visited Uzbekistan to further deepen the bilateral relations between the UK and
Uzbekistan. And in December 2016, Sir Alan Duncan, Minister of State at the Foreign
Office, also visited Uzbekistan. Minister Duncan was privileged to be the first foreign
dignitary to congratulate President Mirziyoev on his inauguration in person. The visit of
His Excellency the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Abdulaziz Kamilov, to Great Britain in
November 2013 marked an important step in enhancing relations between the two
countries.
There are prerequisites for this. First, the CA countries are not alien and unfamiliar
places for the current British Prime Minister. For example, in 2005, Boris Johnson was a
member of parliament, he visited Uzbekistan and noted that he had good connections
and contacts with Uzbek diplomats. Also, in the period 2017
–
2024, UK trade with
Uzbekistan and the Kyrgyz Republic grew by an average of 125% due to economic
liberalization in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan.
Relations between the peoples of Central Asia and Britain have their historical
roots and came to a special status with the adoption of a special free trade agreement
between Amir Temur and Henry IV.
Nowadays’
Great Britain, as a country of technology,
advanced knowledge and practice, innovation and centuries-old development
experience, is an important partner for any developing state, including the countries of
Central Asia. However, how Great Britain sees Central Asia, what is the role of this region
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and its states in the foreign policy and strategy of the United Kingdom, this question still
remains half-open. Firstly, this is due to the lack of a common vision, and conceptual
program of Great Britain about Central Asia. On the other hand, the undeveloped state of
British-Central Asian relations can be characterized by the low desire of the governments
and business communities of the Central Asian countries to improve cooperation with
the UK.
The period studied clearly gives an idea of
the decisive two factors of the UK’s
presence in Central Asia
–
firstly, it is business interests, especially the interests of large
oil companies. Secondly, the importance of neighboring regions with Central Asia for the
foreign policy of the United Kingdom
–
the Caspian region and South Asia. However,
despite the rather sluggish dynamics of the development of the Central Asian vector in
British foreign policy, during the administration of David Cameron. Unfortunately, the
subsequent events connected with the referendum on the EU exit and the Brexit
processes, the foreign and domestic policy of Great Britain began to transform abruptly
and the efforts of the Cameron cabinet towards Central Asia remained frozen. We can
expect the development of this vector only after solving the problems associated with the
consequences of Brexit and the full adaptation of the UK to its new reality outside the EU.
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