FORECASTING DIRECTIONS OF O‘ZTRANSGAZ JSC'S ACTIVITIES FOR THE PERIOD 2024–2027

This article analyzes the activities of “Uztransgaz” JSC during the period of 2015–2023 based on a multivariate regression-correlation analysis. Despite a decline in the volume of natural gas supply during this period, the company succeeded in increasing its gross revenue by 1.8 times. This outcome is associated with modernization, infrastructure renewal, and the implementation of an effective remuneration system. The study mathematically models the impact of production volume, average wages, and incentive expenditures on revenue. Based on the regression equation and correlation analysis, the main factors influencing revenue were identified, and forecasting was carried out in three stages. In particular, the strengthening of wages and incentives under the mobilization process emerged as a key factor in stable revenue growth.